Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.237821 0.269481 0.303257 0.341916 0.384877 0.431094 0.484515
2025-09-21 0.193814 0.235981 0.283804 0.341848 0.410171 0.487808 0.582465
2025-09-28 0.162562 0.210755 0.268386 0.341932 0.432800 0.540862 0.678517
2025-10-05 0.141585 0.194146 0.260022 0.347866 0.461048 0.600988 0.785993
2025-10-12 0.126573 0.182597 0.255836 0.357391 0.493155 0.666809 0.903862
2025-10-19 0.112087 0.169599 0.247806 0.360242 0.515721 0.720813 1.008990
2025-10-26 0.101992 0.161221 0.244709 0.368719 0.545472 0.785095 1.130481
2025-11-02 0.093911 0.154631 0.243121 0.378571 0.577043 0.852871 1.259682
2025-11-09 0.083916 0.143915 0.234292 0.376786 0.591297 0.896682 1.357182
2025-11-16 0.075599 0.134793 0.226805 0.375983 0.606310 0.941647 1.457792
2025-11-23 0.068198 0.126270 0.219318 0.374262 0.619322 0.983751 1.555608
2025-11-30 0.063741 0.122134 0.218296 0.382319 0.647374 1.049027 1.690142
2025-12-07 0.057904 0.115142 0.212227 0.382135 0.663047 1.097290 1.802986
2025-12-14 0.052778 0.108838 0.206703 0.382295 0.679069 1.146665 1.919693
2025-12-21 0.048228 0.103068 0.201533 0.382519 0.694970 1.196352 2.038902
2025-12-28 0.045118 0.099674 0.200208 0.389147 0.721718 1.264341 2.189809
2026-01-04 0.042843 0.097651 0.201142 0.399708 0.755568 1.345181 2.364597
2026-01-11 0.039798 0.093721 0.198158 0.402880 0.776637 1.405734 2.508675
2026-01-18 0.037783 0.091699 0.198586 0.412252 0.808966 1.486298 2.688824
2026-01-25 0.036094 0.090179 0.199823 0.423134 0.844442 1.573536 2.883393
2026-02-01 0.033163 0.085594 0.194570 0.421169 0.856303 1.620588 3.011630
2026-02-08 0.030613 0.081567 0.190078 0.420284 0.869944 1.671078 3.147436
2026-02-15 0.028200 0.077571 0.185282 0.418387 0.881423 1.718024 3.278636